+3.25% vs SPY +3.14% since Tuesday close.

The ceasefire took effect right when we left for our two-day holiday so we were unable to take full advantage of the melt-up in markets. We kept up with SPY due to big moves in AEHR and WATT but gains were limited due to losses in SATS and FUBO.

Our long-term swing account however exploded to new highs up 15% in the last two days, up 31% in the month of April and now up 46% YTD. The outperformance was due to overweight positions in AEHR AAOI and WATT which were bought near the recent lows and alerted in the Discord #longtermideas channel.

YTD: +60.90% vs SPY -0.02%

* Above performance reflects our CEO’s personal trading portfolio based on top trade ideas shared daily in this note, on live streams, and in Discord. Long-term account performance is not officially tracked. Individual results will vary.

The ceasefire with Iran was reached just as we left for holiday. Our plan was always to go long and flip to a green signal even on a gap up once a ceasefire was reached and that was the right thinking.

After two days of runs, all major indices are now above key moving averages on both the daily and weekly charts and oil is now below $100.

President Trump showed his hand and followed through on our Tuesday morning suspicion that he was ready to agree to a ceasefire at any costs. Based on his follow-through, we now believe geopolitical concerns will largely be ignored by traders going forward. The price of oil still needs to be watched as the Strait of Hormuz issue is not fully resolved but we now view this through the lens of long-term fundamental economic concerns which need to be watched rather than imminent short-term risks.

As such we are upgrading our swing signal to green but maintaining a yellow alert for the day signal today due to CPI, set to be released this morning.

Bottom line, we are out of the geopolitical firestorm for now, technicals are positive, and we can now shift our focus back towards swinging larger positions with conviction upon inflection catalysts. This is our bread and butter strategy which led to 667% gains in 2025 and we are excited to shift back towards this strategy as we build upon our 60% YTD gains.

Day Signal: 🟡

Swing Signal: 🟢

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